Wednesday, November 17, 2010

UTD Wins Opener 98-84

The UTD Men's Basketball team opened up their season last night with a 98-84 home win over rival Austin College. The Comets overcame a sloppy first half filled with defensive lapses and offensive miscues to kick the season off on a winning note. The 2nd half was a completely different story and hopefully reflects what we will see for the rest of the year.

This team, much like the two before it, is a veteran squad. Four current starters have started games in the past. The only player making his first start, Greg Chiasson, is a Junior College transfer and by no means inexperienced. The Comets start Seniors Brandon Greene (5th year) and Curtis Davis at the wings, Junior Chris Barnes at the 4, and Senior Jimmy Witten moves over to the Center position after being a 3-year starter at the 4. There is experience behind these guys as well with Seniors Wells Adams and Sean Poe, Junior Milo Tarighi (currently out with a broken nose), and Sophomores Mike Timmins and Reese Dahse. All have some playing experience and should be able give production off the bench.

The one place the Comets are not very experienced is inside. There is not a lack of talent behind Barnes and Witten, simply a total lack of experience. Freshmen Kyle Schleigh, Carter Nash, Ben Byron, and Dmitriy Chernikov will compete all year for playing time at these 2 positions. Schleigh had an excellent first game logging 15 points in just 17 minutes. The Comets will need production out of these guys all year in a very physical league to keep Witten and Barnes healthy and productive.

Game 1


The Austin College game is a tale of 2 halves. The first half was tough to watch. UTD was plagued by poor man-to-man defense allowing too many drivers which led to easy baskets. Austin shot the ball extremely well and made the Comet defense pay for every mistake. The Roos were 6-14 from 3, and 54.5% overall in the first half with only 4 turnovers. The Comets struggled with Austin's full court 2-2-1 pressure amassing 11 1st-half turnovers while only shooting 35% from the field. The Comets did manage to nearly double the Roos in rebounding but simply weren't able to overcome the turnovers. The lack of ball control led to a 10-point halftime deficit. 

In the 2nd-half the Comets did a complete 180. The Comets went into there 1-3-1 defense for the majority of the 2nd half and it worked wonders. UTD forced Austin into 19 2nd-half turnovers resulting in an incredible 61 points in the 2nd half. Chris Barnes (18 points) and Jimmy Witten (14 points) had huge 2nd halves. The 1-3-1 defense though, was the key to the turnaround. The constant harassment by the top half of the zone had the Roos very flustered. Greene (5 steals), Davis (3 steals), Barnes, Schleigh, and Dahse were the main contributors to causing the problems which led to multiple run out baskets. The Comets totaled 13 steals in the 2nd half compared to 0 in the first half. The constant fast breaks led to a tremendous 60% shooting for the half. The Comets were also able to get to the free throw line an astounding 34 times in the 2nd half thanks to constant pressure being applied to the Austin College defense. 



The Comets used a balanced scoring attack to defeat the Roos. The Comets had 5 players in double figures: Barnes 26, Witten 22, Schleigh 15, Davis 13, and Chiasson 13. Chris Barnes combined his scoring with 12 rebounds to give him his first career double-double with 7 offensive rebounds! The Comets registered 19 total offensive boards which will be a point of emphasis all season with the length and athleticism this team has. 


All-in-all it was a good first outing for the Comets. The turnovers will need to come down and the man defense needs to improve quickly, but the team showed good poise and the ability to score in bunches. The 13 defense looks like it will be a staple to what they do this year as they have more athleticism and length than the previous years team. UTD opens conference play on Saturday with an improved Schreiner team coming to Dallas. It will be important to get off to a good start in conference play with a tough schedule coming in January with 7 consecutive conference road games. It should be another exciting year for UTD Basketball.

Friday, November 12, 2010

Off-Season decisions and Coaching Changes

It has been too long since my last post and many things have happened since then. Due to all that has happened this will be a 2-part blog. I will have to continue to neglect the Mavericks quick start, what needs to happen for TCU to get in the title game, and a college basketball preview for the time being. I will try to get to these things in the next week or two.


Rangers Season Ends

The Rangers finished off an incredible season last week with a 4-1 loss to the San Francisco Giants in the World Series. The Giants simply outplayed our Texas Rangers. The Giant pitching staff was incredible all series long, and their bats came up with big hits every game. The Rangers, outside of game 1 in San Francisco, played well. The pitching was good and the fundamentals were sound. They just couldn't come up with the big hits when they needed them, but that was at least partly due to the terrific pitching. Even though the Rangers came up just short this will still be one of the most memorable seasons in Rangers history. No matter what else happens in this franchise's history, this team will always be the first one to break through and become the first American League Champion in team history. 

Following this incredible season comes the teams most important off-season ever. There are numerous issues for the Rangers to figure out, but the big ticket free agent this off-season is obviously Cliff Lee. The Yankees have already reached out to Lee's agent, and sent a private jet to Arkansas to have dinner with Lee and his family. We knew the Yankees were going to pursue Lee hard once the season was over, and they wasted no time in doing so. Other teams have expressed interest including the Nationals, Angels, Astros, Tigers, and others, but this will come down to the Yankees and Rangers. If the Rangers can retain Cliff Lee's services they will be an elite team for the next few years. If they cannot they will simple be a very good team. I truly believe that Cliff Lee will be a Ranger. I think he loved being in Texas. I think his wife loves him being in Texas. I think this city, and this team fits Lee better than New York. Plus I believe the Rangers are set-up to win long term better than the rapidly aging Yankees. That being said, I will be on pins and needles over this until he actually signs on the dotted line with the Rangers.

There are numerous other holes to fill for this Texas team moving forward. Catcher is a main point of emphasis for the Rangers for both the present and future. I don't believe the Rangers have a catcher in the entire system who will ever be an above-average starting catcher in the big leagues above the Rookie leagues. Molina is hinting at retirement, and he really wasn't all that good. Treanor is a good backup, as is Tegarden. The Rangers need to go out and try to find a starting catcher one way or another. The top free agents on the market this off-season are Victor Martinez, John Buck, AJ Pierzynski, and Miguel Olivo. Martinez isn't a great thrower, but is the best hitting catcher outside of Joe Mauer and is an excellent receiver. He will require a massive long-term deal though, and probably will end up elsewhere. The best option for the Rangers is probably Buck or Olivo. The Rangers were very interested in Buck last off-season before he re-signed with Toronto. He is not expected to re-sign this year, but there will be competition for his services. Boston has already expressed interest, and in a weak year for catching free agents there will be others. Olivo was dealt to Toronto just one week ago, but then had his option declined. People are unsure if they hope to bring him back, or are trying to get the draft picks the will get if he signs elsewhere as a Type B free agent. Another option would be acquiring a catcher via trade. Depending on what else happens with free agency the Ranger could possibly move David Murphy, or one of our many back-end starting pitcher candidates for a solid starter. The Reds could be a potential trade partner with Ramon Hernandez and Ryan Hanigan in the bigs with top prospect Devin Mesoraco at AAA and 2010 1st round pick Yasmani Grandal behind him. They are one of few teams with catcher depth at the upper levels.

A 3rd major issue facing the Rangers is the 2nd half debacle of Vlad Guerrero. Vlad hit 45 points lower in the 2nd half, and looked awful throughout the playoffs.  The Rangers need another middle of the order hitter who can fill Vlad's role if it's not Vlad. Victor Martinez could fill that role. Lance Berkman is a plausible option. Paul Konerko would be a great fit as DH/1B if he doesn't re-up with the Whitesox. This is a situation worth monitoring and at this point I am simply not comfortable with Vlad as my cleanup hitter and DH moving forward.

The Rangers have other smaller needs and will likely explore a number of options. The Rangers will likely look for cheap SP options, back-end bullpen help, and a RH 1B (although I think Moreland can handle 1B). Jon Daniels is always very active in the off-season and loves snagging veteran players who have had past success, but are coming off injuries. Expect the Rangers to be more aggressive than usual as they try to maintain this year's success combined with new ownership who are willing to pay for impact players.

Update: Just read an article from Fox News' Ken Rosenthall saying he expects the Rangers to strongly pursue Lee and VMart.


Phillips out as Cowboys Head Coach

Sunday night's 45-7 debacle at Lambeau marks the last game for Wade Phillips as Head Coach of our Dallas Cowboys. Phillips has completely lost the team and the Cowboys are currently mired in possibly the worst season of franchise history. I know the 1-15 season in 1989 was bad, but there were no expectations. The Cowboys were expected to be Super Bowl contenders in a wide open NFC rather than looking at a top 5 pick in the upcoming draft. I never would have thought the Cowboys would be sitting at 1-7 through 8 games with a relatively weak first half of the season. The 2nd half is the tougher half with the Saints, Colts, Giants, Eagles twice, and Redskins still left. The Cowboys could conceivably finish with no more than 3 wins. I am hard pressed to find a winnable game on the schedule other than Detroit and Arizona. A 3-5 finish seems like a great success at this point.

Wade Phillips had good moments as the Cowboys Coach, but it was time for him to leave. Phillips lost control of the locker room, and Jerry Jones needs to see if Jason Garrett can succeed as a Head Coach. Garrett will not be graded on wins and losses, but rather his ability to control the locker room and generate responses from the players. The Cowboys need to see if Garrett can get this very talented team to get back to playing the way they can. If not the Cowboys will most likely look outside the organization in the off-season.

Personally I would much rather see the Cowboys attempt to hire a guy like Bill Cowher or Brian Billick over Garrett. Garrett has very little experience, and honestly I'm not happy with the way he has orchestrated the offense. The Cowboys have been overly predictable and have failed to establish any semblance of a running game the last 2 years. Some media outlets blame Garrett more for the troubles this season than Phillips, although I do not agree.

With any sort of playoff hope gone for this season, Garrett faces the task of convincing this team to finish the season strong. One of the biggest issues this team has faced the last couple of weeks is lack of toughness and pride. Certain players have thrown in the towel, and have stopped playing hard and that is completely unacceptable in my mind. I don't think that Garrett will begin making depth chart changes in his first week, but there needs to be changes soon. Stephen McGee needs to take every snap from here on out at Quarterback. There is zero point in playing a 38-year old QB with no future over a young guy who could be the heir to Romo. We need to see if he can play, or if QB is a position of need in the off-season. Dez Bryant needs to become a starter and play every down. Tashard Choice needs to get a look at Running Back. We know Barber and Jones haven't cut it so why not try Choice. He has looked good in spurts. Victor Butler needs to start taking more snaps away from struggling OLB Anthony Spencer. It's time to take a look at Danny McCray and Barry Church at Safety. They played well in the pre-season and have made plays on Special Teams all year. Sean Lee needs to be starting in the middle over Keith Brooking who has obviously lost a step. Mike Jenkins needs to be benched simply because he has lost all interest in defending. He has pro-bowl talent, but I would prefer undrafted rookie Brian McCann over him right now. At least McCann will work hard and try to earn his money.

The Cowboys are in the low point of this franchise right now. It's time to make wholesale changes, and that started with the firing of Wade Phillips. The Cowboys are still a talented group, and will likely add a top 5 pick next year. This is a team that could make a huge turnaround next year with better coaching and more effort. It's very tough to watch this team right now but there is still intrigue. I am looking forward to seeing what these young players, especially McGee, are able to do if they are given a chance late in the season. Let's just hope this season is a speed bump rather than a the start of a complete rebuilding effort.

Saturday, October 30, 2010

The World Series comes to Arlington

For the first time ever their will be a World Series game played in the Metroplex. The entire area has been stricken with Ranger fever, and it is great to finally witness. I see the claw and antler shirts in the halls at school and at Walmart shopping and when I go to eat at McDonalds and everywhere else. Temporary shops have popped up on street corners under tents selling shirts, towels, blankets, and car flags bearing the Rangers logos. My professor gave score updates on the board during class, and excused anybody who wished to watch the game from class with no penalty. The DFW area has waited a long, long time for this baseball team to step up and take the city by storm and it has finally happened. I have never seen the stadium with as much energy as Game 1 of the ALCS. I simply cannot imagine the electricity that will be in the stadium tonight. It's going to be one incredible party at the Ballpark tonight.

There is one small downside to the Rangers coming back to the ballpark tonight, and that is the 0-2 series hole the Rangers find themselves in. This is an obvious reason for concern. No team since 1996 has come back down 2 in the Series and won. That being said, it has happened 11 times overall. The Rangers are far from done, and I fully expect them to not go down without a fight.

A lot of things went wrong in San Francisco this week. The defense (4 errors), pitching (12.5 ERA), and offense (3.5 RPG) were all surprisingly sub-par. They did not play the way we have come to expect. They were uncharacteristically sloppy, and looked to be slightly rattled by the atmosphere inside AT&T Park.  The Rangers did not look like a championship team out in California.

Thankfully the Rangers now return home for the next 3 games where they were 51-30 during the regular season. The Rangers have been as resilient a team as I have ever seen, and have always been able to bounce back from adversity. With the next 3 at home I could make the argument that the Rangers were in just a precarious situation after 2 games in the ALCS. We were tied 1-1, but the next 3 were in the Bronx where we knew it would be very difficult to win a single game. If the Rangers can overcome the adversity in the Bronx, then they can surely overcome it in their home ballpark.

Tonight the Rangers send Banzai Colby Lewis to the mound in what is a must-win game. Colby Lewis was tremendous in his Game 6 ALCS clinching win against the Yankees. He had masterful command of all of his pitches, and had the Yankee hitters guessing all night. The words "Wow Colby" must have come out of my mouth no less than a dozen times that night at his ability to put pitches where he wanted them. If Colby can come close to replicating that against a weaker Giants lineup (yes, I did watch the first 2 games), then the Rangers will be in a great position to win Game 3.

The Giants will counter Colbyashi with tough lefty Jonathan Sanchez. Sanchez has great stuff, but is incredibly wild. Sanchez had 205 K's with a 3.07 ERA this year, but also led the NL with 96 walks! He is very comparable to CJ, but is even more erratic with his command. If the Rangers can be patient with Sanchez they should be in a position to score runs and knock Sanchez out early. It will be up to the big bats in the middle of the order to get the runs in, but guys like Andrus, Moreland, and Kinsler will be instrumental tonight in getting to Sanchez with their patient approaches.

I expect a completely different Rangers team to show up on the field the next 3 games than we saw in San Francisco. I could go on for hours about the problems I saw in games 1 and 2. Why was Vladdy in the field ever? Why, o why was Feliz not used in the 8th inning of Game 2 when we had to keep it close to give us a chance? Where is Alexi Ogando when its obvious we need somebody who can throw over 87? How did a team who was 17th in the league in runs just score 20 runs in 2 games against a good pitching team? I could go on and on, but I would much prefer to look ahead. Whats done is done. Now the Rangers have to figure out a way to get the next 3 at home. I've always said that in the playoffs you need to take care of business at home and steal one on the road. I still believe that is the case here.

There is obvious reason for concern, but it is not time to panic. Obviously this Ranger team is extremely dangerous and fully capable of swinging this series to their favor very quickly. The next 3 pitching match-ups are, at worst, even, and the Rangers posses the more potent offense. This is still a series, and I believe it is far from over. The Rangers are not a team that will give in easily. I believe this weekend will be an extremely exciting team for Ranger fans. As the first World Series game prepares to take place in the DFW Metroplex tonight, it is time for the Rangers to take care of business.

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

Rangers in control

The Rangers opened up a 2-1 lead over the Yankees in the ALCS last night behind another completely dominating effort by staff ace Cliff Lee. Lee continues to baffle opposing hitters in the playoffs as he now holds a 7-0 career post-season record. The media has been claiming all week that Cliff Lee is in the Yankees' heads and that they know they can't beat him. Last night all but proved that point. Last night the Yankees had the fewest base-runners they have EVER had in a playoff baseball game. In 100 years of baseball, the Yankees have never had less than the 3 base-runners they had last night (1 walk and 2 hits)off Cliff Lee. The Yankee crowd went nuts when Lee finally walked Tex in the 4th. The Swisher 11 pitch ground out may have been the most exciting at bat for the Yankees. In a game where Lee tied Hall-of-Famer Bob Gibson with 3 consecutive 10-strikeout games in the post-season, Lee was magical all night in the Bronx.

I could go on all day about Cliff Lee's performance and what he means to this team, but I'd like to look at what else is going on with the Rangers. The Rangers bats finally broke out last night in the 9th against the Yankee bullpen. Hamilton appears to be finding his swing and Michael Young had his best game of the playoffs going 3-5 driving the ball to the opposite field. Young and Hamilton are two of the biggest keys to this offense and if these guys start clicking our offense quickly becomes the best in baseball.

The real issue with this offense is Vlad Guerrero. Guerrero is hitting a meager .214 and the Yankees will continue to pitch around Hamilton to face Guerrero. Unless Guerrero makes them pay, which he hasn't shown he can do in the last 2 months, the Yankees will continue to take the bat out of Hamilton's hands. Nellie Cruz has been the best hitter on this roster hitting .387 with 3 home runs and 5 doubles. I see absolutely no reason we should not switch Vlad and Nellie. The Yankees are much more worried about Cruz hurting them than they are Vlad, and if they still decide to put Hamilton on Cruz can make them pay. I am not confident Vlad can.

The offense overall has been very good this series averaging over 6 runs per game. Today they see AJ Burnett who has been nothing short of terrible this year. Burnett has an era right at 7 for the last 2 month's of the season, and has had very little control. The Yankee media has no confidence in Burnett and most wanted CC to start on short rest, setting him up for a possible game 7. I am glad they didn't decide to do that. I think we can get to Burnett in a big way and get bullpen going early tonight. As long as we are patient and wait for good pitches, we should be able to put up plenty of runs tonight.

His opposition tonight will be Tommy Hunter. Tommy "Big Game" Hunter struggled in his ALDS start against the Rays, and has a tougher test tonight in the Bronx. The Yankees crush righties, and Tommy doesn't have great stuff. He is a solid rotation guy who will pound the zone, but he is not a guy who will come out and shut down this Yankee offense. If Hunter struggles early, Ron Washington will not hesitate to bring on Holland like he did in the 4th inning in Game 4 against the Rays. This could set up nicely for us. If the Yanks load their lineup with all of their lefties, Holland can come in and pitch his game.

A game 4 win would be huge for this Ranger team. It would guarantee a worst case scenario of a game 7 re-match in Arlington with Cliff Lee going against Pettite (not a bad worst case scenario). It would also create 2 opportunities for the Rangers to close the door with Wilson and Lewis (who both were very good in games 1 and 2), thus allowing Lee to be well rested to start game 1 of the World Series. Game 4 is by no means a must-win game for the Rangers, but it would put them in incredible position to push for the first World Series appearance in team history.

The Rangers have outplayed the Yankees in every aspect through the first 3 games. The Rangers carry an undefeated road playoff record into tonight's game with a favorable pitching match-up. The Rangers are in uncharted territory for this franchise as they move closer to a potential World Series appearance. Cliff Lee re-claimed home field advantage last night, and now the Rangers in position to take complete control of this series. The Rangers will play 2 games in the Bronx in 24 hours starting tonight before returning to Arlington. They could return as ALCS champs or in a 3-2 hole. Whatever the outcome, this will be a very exciting week. Enjoy this. For the 1st time in 38 years the Rangers are in the ALCS and in control. It's a great time to be a Ranger fan!!!

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Trust in Cliff

"Trust in Cliff" was the motto I lived by yesterday and Cliff came through. In the biggest game in Texas Rangers history the former Cy-Young award winner never gave the Rays a chance. On a night when Cliff Lee didn't have his best fastball command he was completely dominating, holding the Rays to 1 run on 6 hits with 11 strikeouts. The Rays had no idea how to attack Lee and were off-balance all night. The Rangers offense did a tremendous job of manufacturing runs against David Price and a tough Rays bullpen. The base-running of Andrus, Cruz, and Vladdy were key parts to the game, and has been a point of emphasis by Ron Washington all year. But last night was all about Cliff Lee.


Cliff Lee has established himself as a big game pitcher. In 5 postseason starts Cliff is 6-0 with a .78 ERA and a 54-6 K/BB ratio. His team has never lost a game he started. Lee threw a season high 120 pitches last night, but their was very little doubt in my mind that he was coming back out after 8. Lee did an incredible job of pitch selection. Lee didn't throw anything but cutters and fastballs until the 3rd inning. Lee threw 1 curvball and 2 change-ups through the first 3 innings. Lee threw the curveball 24% of the time from their on out. Lee's ability to switch back and forth between his 2-seam fastball, cutter, and looping 76-78 mph curveball was simply too much for the Rays offense.

Lee's performance last night was not simply great, it was one of the greatest of all time. Look at these records Cliff and the Rangers set last night:
  • Became the 1st Ranger pitcher to clinch a playoff series.
  • Won the 1st series to ever have the road team win every game.
  • Helped set the Division Series record for most strikeouts in a series-55.
  • Set the record for most strikeouts in a winner take all game-11.
  • Set the record for most strikeouts in a post-season series without a walk-21 (2nd place-14).
  • Tied for 3rd now with most consecutive playoff decisions won-6 (leader 8).
  • Has now tied every other pitcher in the history of baseball with four 10-strikeout, no walk performances in the playoffs. 
Those numbers indicate that last night's performance was one of the great ones of all time. Halladay was immaculate with his no-hitter last week. Lincecum was ridiculously good in his 2-hit win over the Braves the next night. But neither pitcher had his back against the wall in an elimination game on the road. I'm not knocking what those guys did. Halladay will be remembered forever for being only the 2nd pitcher to throw a playoff no-hitter. But what Cliff Lee did last night may be the best performance of all 3. Cliff Lee stepped up and put on a dominant performance in what was easily the most important game in the history of the Texas Rangers franchise. Last night may not have erased 38 years of futility, but it definitely made it seem more like a distant memory rather than an on-going nightmare. Cliff Lee has firmly placed himself in the forefront of Rangers lore no matter what else happens. 

Now as the Rangers return home to face off with the dreaded New York Bankees, the Rangers should be a more relaxed team without the burden of having never won a playoff series hanging over them. The Ballpark will be completely packed for the 1st two games this weekend as Rangers fans eagerly await the first Rangers ALCS game in history. In the words of the the new 'Secretariat' movie:
"You bout to see something you ain't never seen before".  Bring on the Yankees!

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

Rangers-Rays Series Preview

It is finally time for the return of Ranger playoff baseball. Today at 12:37, Elvis Andrus will step to the plate against David Price to kick off the Rangers first playoff appearance in 11 years. The Rangers first round opponent, the Tampa Bay Rays, hold the best record in the American League out of the deepest division in baseball. It will be a very tough match-up for the Rangers, but one they are capable of winning. For the first time in the history of the Texas Rangers, they are in position to win their first Division Series championship.

The Rangers match up very well against the Rays on paper. The Rangers have a better rotation, more power, and comparable defense. The Rays, however, are great at the little things that are more difficult to quantify. The Rays make very few mistakes on the bases or in the field. They are also the clear cut best base-running team in all of baseball.  The Rays are the masters of taking the extra base. The Rays are an excellent small ball team who will give the Rangers fits with their speed and base-running. It is a very exciting match-up, and should be one of the more even series in the first round. Let's take a look closer at the individual match-ups.

The Rotation

The Rangers have a definite advantage in the rotation. In every pitching match-up the Rangers have an advantage. Cliff Lee is much better than David Price. Price has the 97 MPH fastball to go with the glamor of being a 24 year phenom. He was the 1st overall pick in 2007 and was featured in ESPN Magazines' Next edition. But when analyzing the numbers Price is not even on the same tier as Cliff Lee. Lee has a 2.58 FIP (Fielding independent pitching) and a 7.0 WAR this season. Price holds a 3.42 FIP and 4.3 WAR. That is a significant difference that gives the Rangers a strong advantage in Games 1 and 5 (if needed). Price is an excellent pitcher, but he is beatable. He doesn't throw a lot of strikes, and is 6th in the league in walks entering today's game. One of the biggest differences between the two is Price's inability to pitch over 6 innings consistently due to his extremely high pitch counts. Price will be one of the best pitchers over then next 10 years, but right now he is not on the same level as Cliff Lee.

The 2nd game match-up between C. J. Wilson and James Shields is just as skewed toward the Rangers. James Shields leads all of the AL with 34 home runs allowed and comes in with a 7 ERA during the month of September. Shields has not been pitching well all year and his biggest issue is that he throws a flat low-90's fastball almost 70% of the time. This is the type of pitcher the Rangers can get to. If C.J. is on his game the Rangers should have a clear advantage here.

The 3rd game between Colby Lewis and Matt Garza is even more dramatic in terms of FIP than the Game 2 match-up. Colby has a 3.55 FIP and 4.4 WAR. Garza is at 4.48 FIP and 1.8 WAR. Garza also limped down the stretch with a 5.88 ERA in September, his highest of any month. Most people consider Garza the better pitcher out of him and Shields, but WAR says differently (2.2-1.8). My opinion is that Joe Maddon didn't want Shields, with his home-run tendencies, to pitch in Arlington. This is another match-up where the Rangers seem to have an advantage.

The 4th game match-up is very close. Tommy Hunter and Wade Davis are both young guys who had good years. Hunter's numbers are better on the surface, but their numbers are very comparable when looking at FIP(4.99-4.79) and WAR (.7-.8). Hunter has been tremendous at home going 7-0 and hopefully that will give him and edge. This is the only match-up that the Rangers do not have a clear pitching advantage.

For the Rangers to go into a series knowing that their starter will be better in 4 of 5 possible games is a tremendous confidence boost. This has been the whole key to the Rangers turnaround the last few years, and this will be the strength that pushes the Rangers forward.

The Bullpen

The bullpen is one place the Rays have a slight advantage in. The Rays bullpen has been absolutely lights out all year, and even more so in the last month. The Rays pen has not allowed a run in their last 32.2 innings of work. That is an incredible run. Soriano (1.73 ERA, 46 saves) has been among the best closers all year long, and their middle relievers have been just as lights out. Joaquin Benoit (1.34 ERA), Grant Balfour (2.28 ERA), Dan Wheeler (3.35 ERA), and electric rookie Jake McGee (1 hit in 5 innings) will be very challenging for the Rangers to come back against. The Rays may have the best bullpen in the entire playoffs.

-Quick Update- Jake McGee was a surprise late cut to the playoff roster as was BA MILB POY Jeremy Hellickson. 

That being said the Rangers have a tremendous bullpen of their own. The Rangers have chosen to go with a 6 man bullpen (announced 30 minutes ago), which is unconventional. The Rangers have elected to go with closer Neftali Feliz, Darren Oliver, Darren O'Day, rookie Alexi Ogando, long-man Dustin Nippert, and Derek Holland. The Rangers chose Holland over Rapada due to his ability to pitch multiple innings and get righties and lefties out. One reason for the 6 man pen is that Tommy Hunter can be available in Game 1, and Wilson will be available in Game 5. This bullpen has been as good as any all year being led by likely Rookie-of-the-Year Neftali Feliz and his 40 saves.

Both teams will have a very difficult time scoring runs late in games this series. These bullpens are tremendous and know how to finish a game. Expect the starters to determine the outcome in most games this series.

The Bats

The lineups of both teams have been heavily scrutinized over the last week. Both teams best hitter has missed the last 2 weeks of play, and both claim to be about 85%. Evan Longoria hasn't played in 12 games due to a tight quad. Longoria has gotten zero at-bats to prepare himself for the post-season. A 3-18 career line against Lee is also an issue. Hamilton got 3 games worth of at-bats last weekend and looked very good. Hamilton homered, drew a walk, and looked to have his timing back. I am not worried too much about Hamilton or any rust he may have.

The Rays are not a great offensive team. Tampa is 13th in the AL in BA, 6th in Home runs, 1st in total strikeouts, 1st in walks, and 1st in steals. This team is built around drawing walks, moving people over using their tremendous team speed, and being opportunistic. This will be a concern with C.J. on the mound with his control, but should bode well for Cliff Lee, Colby Lewis, and Tommy Hunter. This team is all about working counts, and waiting for the pitcher to fall behind and make a mistake. This staff has done a great job of controlling the strike zone, and this will hopefully neutralize some of the Rays speed. 

One huge x-factor for the Rays could be 1B Carlos Pena. Pena is hitting a meager .196 but still has 28 home runs and 84 RBI. Pena holds a .325 OBP! It is an incredible feat to have a .325 OBP while only batting .196. This guy could easily go 1-13 in the series with 5 walks and a 3-run homer to win a game. Pena is a guy who scares me due to how he is perceived and the guys around him. He is dangerous hitting around Crawford and Longoria. I think he could be a key to this series.

For the Rangers it feels like the first time in months that we will see the full lineup intact. Hamilton is finally back. Kinsler is healthy. Cruz is healthy and playing his best baseball. Francouer has played great since coming over the New York and will start against Price in the opener. Cantu finally looks to be coming around some. Moreland will start Games 2-4 and he has looked great at the plate in the last month. Borbon hit .309 for the month of September. Murphy claims to be healthy and ready to go. The lineup has finally come together the way Ron Washington pictured it in April. This lineup is extremely dangerous, and the Rays starting pitching isn't exactly the 1999 Yankees. This team has the ability to put up runs in a hurry, and I fully expect the Rangers to make it very tough on the Rays to play their small ball in at least 2 games this series. 



After looking at the match-ups it is clear the Rangers have the advantage on paper. Their are, however, numerous things that you can't put on paper that come up in the playoffs. Will Feliz be able to handle the pressure of playoff baseball in his rookie season? How much does playoff experience and home field really matter because the Rangers lack both? These are questions that will be answered very quickly. Tim Kurkjian just called this series the most interesting series in the Divisional round. I certainly expect it to be.

This fan base has waited 11 years for another playoff game for the Rangers, and that day has finally come. I told anybody who would listen two years ago that 2010 would be the year the Rangers would return to the playoffs. So many things have built up to get to this point. All the work Daniels has done building this team from the system up. All the effort and sacrifices Michael Young has made for this organization over the last 10 years. Everything Josh Hamilton has been through over the last 6 years to re-find himself and return to the game of Baseball. The resiliency of of Nolan Ryan and Chuck Greenberg to purchase this team through the month's of bankruptcy court and supply the money needed to pay for the deals the Rangers have made to improve this ball club. All of these events have led to this moment! The Rangers have returned to the playoffs. Finally, It Is Time!

Sunday, September 26, 2010

The Rangers Clinch

For the first time since 1999 the Texas Rangers will be in the Major League Baseball Playoffs. The Rangers defeated the 2nd place Oakland Athletics yesterday 4-3 behind unlikely hero Jorge Cantu's solo home run in the 8th inning. This is the earliest date the Rangers have ever clinched the division and now have 8 games to rest players going into the playoffs. Lee and Wilson will get an extra day of rest or 2, as will guys like Vladdy, Andrus, Young, Cruz, and Kinsler. This is a great position for the Rangers to be in. Don't underestimate the importance of clinching early in order to give the key guys a couple of days to rest going into the playoffs while the Rays and Yankees battle each other for the right to home field.

This is a great moment for a franchise who has struggled for most of its existence. The Rangers are currently the only team in baseball to never win a playoff series. I am convinced that this year is truly a turning point for this franchise. We have a great ownership group in place with Greenberg and Ryan. We have a fantastic front office with Daniels, Levine, Preller, and so many others. We also have a core of players who are under team control for years backed by an excellent farm system. This team is in position to make a decade long run of division dominance similar to the Angels of the 2000s. This is the first step.

This is a great moment for so many of the Rangers players, but it is an especially sweet moment for Michael Young. Young currently is 2nd place among active players with the most games without a playoff appearance (1,502 games) behind journeyman Randy Winn. Young has spent all 11 years of his career as one of the best hitters on a bad Ranger team. Young has been the ultimate professional throughout his whole career. He has never asked for a trade, or created a locker room problem due to him being a great player on a bad team. A-Rod wanted out. Soriano asked to leave. Tex said he'd like to move on. But not Mike Young. Young signed an extension, and has become one of the most beloved Rangers of all time. On his way to becoming the Rangers All-time hit leader, Young became one of the most well-respected players in all of baseball. Young deserves this opportunity, and I expect him to make the most of it.

Now that the Rangers have clinched they can focus on getting ready for either the Rays or Yankees. It looks more likely each day that their first round opponent will the Tampa Bay Rays. The Rangers' biggest focus needs to be on setting up our playoff rotation, looking at potential bench players, and getting Josh Hamilton healthy. Hamilton expects to be ready to play for the last series. I would love to see the Rangers bat Hamilton lead-off each game to guarantee him the maximum amount of plate appearances each game, although I doubt it will happen.

The Rangers will also use these last 8 games to look at the 1B conundrum. Moreland has struggled hitting just .224 in September. Cantu has been terrible hitting just .231 with 2 RBI (both yesterday) since coming over from Florida. He will most likely make the team simply because he is right-handed. The third option is Chris Davis. Davis lost his job in May, and then again in July, but has looked excellent since returning in September. Davis is only 4-9 since returning, but he has walked 4 times with a homer and a double. Davis looks to have improved his plate discipline and looks very calm at the plate. In the past Davis has shown a tendency to have too much movement at the plate rather than just staying quiet. Davis is also the best defensive first baseman by far. Either Moreland or Davis will make the playoff roster, and I am in favor of Davis. I think he looks very good at the plate, and his defensive abilities could save us runs in the playoffs. All 3 are starting in the lineup today. Expect all of them to get significant playing time throughout the week.

This is a great time to be a Ranger fan. This team has a legit chance to be a force this year in the playoffs. This isn't the mid-90's where the Yankees were beginning a dynasty. All 4 teams in the AL have significant issues including the Rangers. However, this Ranger team has the ability to out-hit  and out-pitch any team any night of the week. A rotation of Lee-Wilson-Lewis will be very difficult to defeat. The Ranger lineup with Hamilton in the middle will be as good as any lineup in the playoffs. This team is without a doubt good enough to win the franchise's first playoff series ever. As CJ and Mike Young said last night during the celebration, "This is only the beginning."